Farmland reaps high investment returns
Farmland generates not only regular income but also capital appreciation and can be used as a hedge against inflation.
Another benefit: farmland returns tend to be immune to stock or bond fluctuations,
making it a good diversification tool.
Still, investing in farmland isn't for everyone, especially in the actual land. Investors must deal with upfront costs, more complexity than a typical stock or fund and a lot less liquidity. It also takes a leap of faith considering factors outside an owner's control such as weather, seed prices and trade wars. Global factors such as the demand for ethanol or evolving eating habits are also at play.
WHY NOW?
Despite the potential risks, signs are good that farmland profits could continue, at least for the near future. As diets worldwide increasingly include meat, there is almost universal agreement that the demand for crops to feed China and India will hold steady for years.
In 2011, U.S. farmland generated a total return of 15.1 percent, according to the National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries. The U.S. Department of Agriculture predicts net farm income in 2012 will be $91.7 billion, the third-highest recorded since 1980. That's down 6.5 percent from last year, but farmland values are still expected to increase almost 6 percent.
In contrast, the Standard & Poor's 500 index ended 2011 virtually unchanged from the previous year.
"In the U.S., what we do well is agriculture. We have the land, the crops, the know-how," says Vieth, whose firm - Ceres Partners - manages a $67 million portfolio of 77 farms consisting of 18,500 acres, mostly in Indiana, Michigan, Ohio and Illinois.
FUNDS
One of the simplest ways for individual investors to get a piece of farm pie is via exchange-traded funds such as the PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund or the Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF.
The latter, a $6 billion fund, is the less expensive of the two, with an expense ratio of about half a percent. It is up 13 percent year-to-date as of March 16, and 25 percent over the last three years.
"Buying farmland directly only works for investors willing to put time into it and be on the ground," says HighQuest Partners' Erickson. "For most people, a stable, longstanding fund is going to be easier."
The number of farmland-specific funds is also rising, with many offering three- to seven-year investment options. Two examples include North Carolina-based U.S. Farming Realty Trust, which opened a $300 million fund in December, and Chess Ag Full Harvest Partners, a $100 million fund based in Mississippi and South Dakota.
RENT AS DIVIDENDS
Some investors are buying the actual land. Jim Farrell, president of the farm management company Farmers National, estimates that half of the farmland in the Midwest is owned by people who don't farm it themselves.
Still, it's a purchase not to be taken lightly. Investing in farmland takes a lot more liquidity and homework than selecting a mutual fund or CD. There also are additional expenses for property taxes, insurance and employing a professional farm manager.
As in most real estate, location is everything. Some of the highest quality — and priced — land is in the Corn Belt region - Iowa, Illinois, Minnesota and Indiana. The average price per acre in Iowa, the nation's largest producer of corn and soybeans, reached a 70-year high of $6,708 in 2011, up 32.5 percent from the previous year, according a recent Iowa State University survey.
Finding value, however, may mean looking outside the highly productive region.
"You have to study the farm, know the quality of the soil, the yields it's had, the long-term capital appreciation," says Shonda Warner, founder of Chess Ag Full Harvest Partners. "But also the problems, what kind of equipment it requires, what maintenance it might need."
Farm management companies and local real estate agents are invaluable resources in judging land's worth. Kevin Dhuyvetter, a professor of agricultural economics at Kansas State, also recommends speaking to farmers or residents in a particular area to learn about weather patterns, previous downturns, or even gossip about a specific property and its tenants.
Crop yields and rental incomes should be major deciding factors. Many farmers, particularly young ones who cannot afford to buy land, will rent tracts to farm. Those rental agreements are key to a piece of land's profitability down the road.
"In Iowa especially there is a surplus of people who are excellent farmers," says Dermot Hayes, an Iowa State agribusiness professor who has bought almost 1,000 acres of land to grow corn and soybeans in recent years. "I provide the land and inputs, they provide the labor, equipment and management, and we split the profits from the crops they grow."
(Edited by Jilian Mincer, Chelsea Emery, Beth Pinsker Gladstone and Dan Grebler)
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Ceres Partners is a limited liability company organized in 2009 to serve as investment manager and general manager of Ceres Farms, LLC organized in 2007, Heartland Farms, LLC organized in 2006, and any successor investment funds. Ceres Partners manages a portfolio of properties totaling over 25,000 acres consisting of 104 farms in the states of Indiana, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio and Tennessee.
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Interview conducted by: Lynn Fosse, Senior Editor, CEOCFO Magazine, Published � October 1, 2012
Mr. Vieth: Ceres Partners is an investment firm that I started in 2009 to serve as general manager over my personal farmland assets as well as those of Ceres Farms LLC, a commingled Fund. Ceres invests in hard assets generally and more specifically, farmland and farm improvement assets. We invest currently in five states, Indiana, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, and one farm in Tennessee. We have about 25,000 acres and about $125 million in assets.
Mr. Vieth: At the time, I was CIO of fixed income and foreign currency at an institutional firm in Boston, Panagora Asset Management. Back in 2005 and 2006 I decided personally that I wanted to get more of my assets invested in hard assets because the vision I had at that point in time was that we were at a secular low for inflation and I wanted inflation protected assets. I also thought we were at a high for the US dollar and I wanted an asset class that would benefit from a declining dollar. Finally, I saw the rising middle class in Asia and I wanted an asset that would benefit from that rising middle class. My vision is that there will be demand for more food and better food. Income producing farmland was the hard asset that delivered all of these investment criteria. I started investing personally in 2006 and then as we got into 2007, I had interest from other individuals who wanted to participate so we created Ceres Farms LLC, which is designed for outside investors to be able to participate directly in the ownership of farmland.
Mr. Vieth: I actually feel stronger about my vision now than I did then given that I did not anticipate how things would develop in Washington. I saw certain things in the economy but they have happened even faster than I envisioned. If you look at monetary policies and the debt that the US government has run up the last couple of years, I feel even stronger about this investment, especially when I look at the interest rate environment with the US 10 year treasury yielding about 1.5 to 1.6%. We invest in farmland that has current cash flow of six to seven percent plus the long-term appreciation which the land delivers, so I look at it as an investment class that is under-owned but yet offers great opportunity.
Mr. Vieth: Our primary criteria is the current income potential of the farmland. The main mistake that people can make is overpaying when they purchase the land initially. Therefore, what we look at is what will the land cost us and what kind of rent can we get and those two factors together, provide an expected yield level; our target is six to seven percent and that is what helps make our buy decision. There are other things like making sure that there is adequate water supply, good soils, and a flat terrain. We look at all those things but it has to meet that income component.
Mr. Vieth: I mentioned water earlier; water is very important and in this year of drought, that is playing out. We are in the eastern part of the corn belt that generally has more water supplies, and northern Indiana and southern Michigan have a sustainable recharging aquifer. We like using irrigation, but the irrigation we use is supplemental irrigation. Therefore, if Mother Nature does not deliver the water that the crops need through rain, we then supplement this with irrigation. Irrigation is important because it allows us to grow specialty crops like vegetables and seed corn. These specialty crops deliver higher revenues which allows us to produce greater returns. Currently, our portfolio has a little over forty percent of our acres irrigated, so even in a year of terrible drought like 2012, our farms are doing great and they are able to take advantage of the high crop prices that we are seeing because of the irrigation that we are able to deliver.
Mr. Vieth: An important element to our success is the producers (farmers) that we work with. We do a great deal of our homework ahead of time making sure that they are the best farmers out there using the latest technology and using sustainable practices such as things like cover crops and organic fertilizers to the extent available. Teaming up with the right people to begin with takes much of the day to day management out of the equation. We monitor what is going on and we work with them as far as improvements on the land, but in the day to day production of the crops, we defer to them and to their expertise in that regard.
Mr. Vieth: I tell people what we are doing is very transparent. What I consider the most proprietary thing we have are these tenant partners that we work with. We refer to them as tenant partners because they are very important to our equation. We are currently working with twenty-five of these tenant partners and we are always looking to expand that; we have a current pipeline of another ten that we will look to acquire land for. But what is critical, like any business, is working with the right people, with good people, that is what makes us successful and is a very important part of what we are doing.
Mr. Vieth: I do not think they will realize how much of a science it is and how much work goes into it. I often tell people I think they take for granted the food that we put on the table each day and do not realize how hard these farmers work to deliver that. We have the cheapest food in the world and the best food sourcing. These farmers are great people who are delivering that to them. People just do not realize how much of a science it is and I think they do not have enough of an appreciation for these farmers, as they should.
Mr. Vieth: We occasionally sell farms. We sold three in the last two years. We are most likely to sell if someone approaches us, has a strong desire to purchase, and offers a price that is strong for us. We look at what the yield level will be given the rent and the offer price. We sold one farm last year that we had purchased for about $4,600 an acre, we owned it for just a little under two years and we were able to sell it for $9,200 per acre. As we originally were getting a return in that six to seven percent level that we want it, at the price we sold it, it was under four percent, closer to a three percent return, which is a good opportunity for us to sell and then use those proceeds to purchase another higher yielding property. There were some small tangential things as well such as being too close to a city, which constrained future agricultural growth.
Mr. Vieth: We are and I expect there will be some more sales this fall than usual as some people look to avoid an increase in long-term capital gains and some farmers sell to improve their balance sheets. Most farmers will do ok as long as they had crop insurance but there are going to be some ten to twenty percent that did not, so we expect to see some sales in that area. We have attended several auctions in the last couple of weeks and prices are still quite strong so we are not seeing as much let up there as I had expected, but we will see what happens as the fall progresses.
Mr. Vieth: All investors should have more hard assets in their portfolios. In general, I recommend people have twenty to thirty percent in hard assets. I like to refer to farmland as gold with a coupon because gold is an alternative hard asset that you could invest in but it does not pay you anything while you are holding it. Farmland on the other hand pays that six to seven percent income each year and yet offers long-term inflation protection as well as benefiting from the expanding global demographics and the rising middle class around the world that will want better food. With farmland, you are able to generate a return in the mid teens while still having all the benefits of owning a hard asset.
Mr. Vieth: We continue to see opportunity, we have a pipeline of additional farms that meet our criteria and that we are still very early in this investment cycle. I think water is going to be a big thing going forward and we are always making sure that we have good water access on the properties that we buy. |
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