■ SOC.인프라펀드

Wiggins Island Coal Export Terminal on track despite failure of Bandanna Energy

Bonjour Kwon 2014. 9. 30. 17:24

 

 

 

 

Wiggins Island Coal Export Terminal on track despite failure of Bandanna Energy

Jenny Wiggins
Published: September 24, 2014 - 1:34AM

Queensland's $2.6 billion Wiggins Island Coal Export Terminal remains on track to start exporting coal in November despite the collapse of one of its owners, Bandanna Energy, chief executive Robert Barnes said. 

Bandanna Energy, which has been developing thermal coal mines east of Rockhampton, went into administration on Monday. It is part of a consortium of eight miners, along with Wesfarmers Curragh and Yancoal Resources, that has paid for the development of WICET to export coal.

WICET's financial structure is supported by bank guarantees from all eight shareholders, as well as commitments from all the miners to cover any shortfall in financing and operating costs, according to Mr Barnes.

"We have got no issue with this [collapse of Bandanna]," Mr Barnes said.

WICET is due to receive its last major piece of equipment, a shiploader made in Malaysia that weighs 1300 tonnes and is 60 metres high, on Wednesday. Coal trains will be unloaded in late October with WICET due to start exporting coal on November 25.

Coal miners must start making payments to WICET once coal is loaded on to ships, and will need to pay for their allocated capacity regardless of whether they are producing coal or not.

Bandanna's collapse will force the remaining miners to ship additional coal to compensate for the shortfall, find other miners who want to ship coal, or make additional financial payments. Hedge funds are watching WICET closely for signs its banking syndicate, which has loaned about $2.45 billion in senior debt to the project, will not get its money back.

 

 

 

-------------------------

 

Stranded assets: Australia’s biggest coal project already at risk

Print Friendly

With the coal price hitting a four year low, the Australian dollar remaining stubbornly above the Reserve Bank of Australia’s preferred range, and renewable technology and cost improvement records being set regularly, the pressure on the Australian coal industry has intensified dramatically.

While many new greenfield coal mine and associated infrastructure projects have been delayed, not all have escaped. We thought it timely to review Australia’s largest coal infrastructure project currently under development – the $3.3 billion Wiggins Island Coal Export Terminal (WICET), and Aurizon’s associated $0.9 billion Wiggins Island Rail Project (WIRP).

Coal analysts like Wood Mackenzie have warned that the port is likely to see operating rates of only 40-60 per cent over 2015-2017, well below the company’s cash breakeven after funding costs. Given the very high construction cost, the port will have to charge well above industry rates, and the take-or-pay contracts turn infrastructure access into a major contingent liability. We see this project as facing the prospect of being financially stranded even before it is commissioned over 2015.

As background, the WICET facility at Gladstone is a private industry project undertaken by a consortium of eight coal miners: Glencore Xstrata, Wesfarmers, Bandanna Energy, Cockatoo Coal, New Hope Corp, Yancoal Australia, Aquila Resources Ltd and Caledon Resources (a subsidiary of Guangdong Rising Assets Management Co. of China). The take-or-pay (ToP) obligations and associated mine developments are detailed below.

Figure 1: WICET Shareholders and Port Take-or-Pay Exposure

WICET committed to build a greenfields development of a 27Mtpa coal export terminal in Queensland at the height of the coal sector boom of 2011-2012, and has had to compete for construction resources against the massive $70bn LNG build-out of three projects concurrently at Curtis Island.

As a result, while the construction cost of WICET was announced at $2.5bn, but by full commissioning in Dec’2015, the total debt and preference share facilities total up to $3.27bn (although this may not be fully drawn), inclusive of capitalised interest charges.

Per tonne of export capacity, this $3.27bn equates to A$121/t, almost three times the A$44/t port cost that the Adani Group valued the A$2.2bn, 50Mtpa Abbot Point Coal Export Terminal (T1) in Mar’2013. The likely operating cost including financing is therefore likely to be up to twice the Australian coal industry average of A$5-6/t.

Bloomberg reports that WICET will have syndicated debt facilities totaling $3 billion on commencement of operations (see Figure 2 below). The financial syndicate was arranged by ANZ Banking Group. This facility includes a three-year $2.4 billion non-recourse construction loan, a $350 million cost-overrun facility, a $100 million equity bridge loan (since repaid/refinanced), plus $50 million working capital and $100 million letter of credit facilities. In addition to a nominal ordinary equity contribution (<$10,000 in total), WICET has raised preference share capital from its equity investors. The total cumulative preference share equity (capital and interest is repayable Sept’2020) at issue in Sept’2011 was $ 275 million.

Figure 2: WICET’s debt facilities

With interest bearing instruments used to fund 100 per cent of WICET, the project is excessively geared. The net interest costs are expected to be over $7/t. Depreciation and operating costs add another $4-5/t. Take-or-pays for 100 per cent of the capacity of the port have been signed with the eight shareholders, but even assuming 100 per cent utilisation, the contracted port charges are likely to be $11-12/t; double the Australian industry average of $5-6/t.

Project Timing Delays

In September 2011, WICET announced financial closure, allowing construction to commence on Stage I. Also in September 2011 Aurizon signed a rail agreement with each of the consortium members to underwrite Aurizon’s cost of construction of the WIRP. Rail construction began in March 2012, with time frames aligned to the coal export terminal and related coal mining projects. First railings of coal were initially scheduled for mid-2014 and overall project completion was scheduled for March 2015. In August 2013, Aurizon confirmed the WIRP construction schedule had been delayed by 9 months and as a result the WIRP was expected to be fully commissioned by end CY2015. In February 2014, Aurizon confirmed an agreed, revised delivery timetable with WIRP customers. With the terminal 80% complete as of Feb’2014, first coal shipments are due Oct’2014 to test the export facility.

In October 2013, it was reported that Glencore Xstrata was trying to offload 5Mtpa of its 10.9Mtpa take-or-pay allocation from WICET “due to changed market circumstances”. As of the end of January 2014, there had been no takers of this ToP allocation, and no comment subsequent to this. Glencore’s decision may relate to the delays to the second stage expansion of the Glencore led-Rolleston coal mine from 14Mtpa to 19Mtpa.

The contingent liability of these long term take-or-pay contracts may force some projects to proceed despite otherwise uncommercial risk-return prospects. This is illustrated by the statement in Bandanna Energy’s 2012/13 annual report:

“However, the timing of availability of port and rail capacity dictates the timetable for development of the (mine) project in order to meet our capacity commitments.”

Despite this, many of the mine developments are well behind schedule or even yet to commence construction. As an example, GRAM’s Caledon Resource’s proposed 7Mtpa coal project lodged its Environmental Impact Statement in Jun’2013. As of Apr’2014 the corporate website still reports that:

“The mining lease application has been lodged for the Minyango Project and is currently undergoing environmental impact assessment (EIA)”.

The February 2014 “Queensland Major Projects Report” states:

“In particular, a number of producers with allocations to the WICET remain unable to access finance and further delays cannot be ruled out. In this Report, it is assumed that several of the delayed coal projects will be revived late in the forecast period under more favourable Australian dollar prices and local cost structures, but it is not guaranteed.”

Too Many Coal Export Ports in Queensland

As detailed by Laura Eadie in Too Many Ports in a Storm: The risks of Queensland’s Port Duplication, the Australian coal industry has a history of overestimating export expansions and as a result the average Queensland coal export facility has operated at only 63 per cent utilisation rates over 2010-2012. With 38Mtpa of new coal export capacity coming online in 2014-2015, and another 65Mtpa expected from Stage I if the Adani ‘T0’ and GVK ‘T3’ greenfield expansions at Abbot Point proceed, significant excess capacity remains a key risk.

Lend Lease’s decision to pull out of its consortium bid to build the Abbott Point NorthHub AP-X in February 2014 was explained by referencing many competing project proposals. Anglo-American likewise announced it had pulled out of the AP-X development proposal in March 2014.

Excess seaborne coal supply and lower than expected demand growth has seen both the thermal and coking coal spot prices down 45 per cent and 65 per cent respectively from their highs in 2011. The risk of further coal demand disappointments is rising. We note the slowing in GDP growth expectations in China and India, increased focus on air pollution and the associated health risks in both countries, and strong growth in the deployment of renewable energy globally into 2014. BREE recently forecast a further decline in coal prices for the next two to three years.

Rail and port coal export infrastructure are very capital intensive, long life, single purpose projects. We view the risk of writedowns in excess of $1 billion on WICET as a timely warning of on the magnitude of changes emerging in the Australian energy sector.

Tim Buckley works at the Institute of Energy Economics and Finance Analysis (IEEFA)

This report is for information and educational purposes only. It is intended solely as a discussion piece focused on the topic of the Australian energy sector, with respect to investment, policy and regulatory trends and the risk of stranded assets. Under no circumstance is it to be considered as a financial promotion. It is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any investment referred to in this document; nor is it an offer to provide any form of investment service.

 

 

----------------------------

 

Wiggins Island Coal Terminal

Project overview*

EIS status Recommended project proceed subject to conditions and recommendations
Description Coal export terminal with an ultimate capacity of 84 million tonnes per annum; and rail and supporting infrastructure.
Proponent (original/current) Gladstone Ports Corporation Limited/Wiggins Island Coal Export Terminal Pty Ltd
Location/s Port of Gladstone. Map( http://www.dsdip.qld.gov.au/assessments-and-approvals/coordinated-projects-map.html/?marker=Wiggins Island Coal Terminal )
Local government/s Gladstone Regional Council
Key features
  • three shiploading conveyor streams serving three shiploaders across four coal-export berths
  • coal stockyard and materials handling systems
  • provision for two additional import berths
  • marine facilities, including jetty and wharf
  • dredging of channel and swing basin

Environmental impact statement (EIS) process

Date Activity
8 November 2013 Extension to date the Coordinator-General's report on the EIS lapses - to 7 January 2016.
22 December 2011 Extension to date the Coordinator-General's report on the EIS lapses - to 7 January 2014.
1 April 2008 Commonwealth Minister for the Environment's approval of 'controlled action', subject to conditions( http://www.environment.gov.au/cgi-bin/epbc/epbc_ap.pl?name=current_referral_detail&proposal_id=2374 ).
7 January 2008 Coordinator-General's report on EIS( http://www.dsdip.qld.gov.au/resources/project/wiggins-island-coal-terminal/mp-wiggins-cg-report-jan-08.pdf ) (PDF icon 1.42 MB) released.
August/September 2007 Agency and submitter consultation on supplementary report to EIS( http://www.wicet.com.au/index.php?id=16 ). Also available at State Library of Queensland( http://www.slq.qld.gov.au/ ) (record number: 780917).
13 November 2006 to
8 January 2007
Public consultation on EIS( http://www.wicet.com.au/index.php?id=16 ). Also available at State Library of Queensland( http://www.slq.qld.gov.au/ ) (record number: 770379).
22 March 2006 Terms of reference for EIS( http://www.dsdip.qld.gov.au/resources/project/wiggins-island-coal-terminal/mp-wiggin-final-tor-mar-06.pdf ) (PDF icon 476 KB) released.
14 January 2006 to
14 February 2006
Public consultation on draft terms of reference for EIS.
25 November 2005 Project deemed a 'controlled action'( http://www.dsdip.qld.gov.au/assessments-and-approvals/referral-to-australian-government.html ) by Commonwealth Minister for the Environment.
28 October 2005 Project referred to Commonwealth Minister for the Environment.
7 October 2005 Gazettal of 'significant project' declaration( http://www.dsdip.qld.gov.au/resources/project/wiggins-island-coal-terminal/gazette-notice-wiggins-island-coal-project-declaration-7-october-2005.pdf ) (PDF icon 206 KB)
30 September 2005 Application, including initial advice statement( http://www.dsdip.qld.gov.au/resources/project/wiggins-island-coal-terminal/wiggins-island-coal-terminal-ias.pdf ) (PDF icon 3.5 MB), submitted.

Read more about the EIS process( http://www.dsdip.qld.gov.au/assessments-and-approvals/environmental-impact-statement-process.html ).

Project changes

Project change application - Development of a stacker/reclaimer stockyard (WEXP1 and WEXP2)

Date Activity
21 December 2012 Coordinator-General's report on project change( http://www.dsdip.qld.gov.au/resources/project/wiggins-island-coal-terminal/wict-cg-change-report-01.pdf ) (PDF icon 1 MB) released, approving the change.
19 December 2012 Additional information to project change application relating to workforce and accommodation( http://www.dsdip.qld.gov.au/resources/project/wiggins-island-coal-terminal/wict-additional-information.pdf ) (PDF icon 386 KB)
22 October 2012 Addendum to project change application submitted
25 May 2012 Proponent's project change application submitted.

Read more about project changes( http://www.dsdip.qld.gov.au/assessments-and-approvals/application-for-project-change.html ).

Further information

For more information, visit the Wiggins Island Coal Terminal website( http://www.wicet.com.au/index.php?id=2 ).

* Project information supplied by proponent and subject to change.

Last updated on Thursday, 12 June 2014

 

 

 

 

------------------------------

 

Coal Slump Leaves Australia Port Half-Used, Lenders at Risk

Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. (ANZ) and Westpac Banking Corp. (WBC) are among lenders risking losses on $3 billion of loans backing a coal port in Australia that will be twice its required size.

Wiggins Island Coal Export Terminal Pty, the group comprising the unfinished project’s owners, including Glencore Xstrata Plc (GLEN) and Wesfarmers Ltd. (WES), in 2011 borrowed the debt from 19 banks, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. When the port in the state of Queensland begins shipping in early 2015, only about half of its 27 million metric tons of initial annual export capacity will be used after a slump in coal demand, forecaster Wood Mackenzie Ltd. estimates.

“There will be more capacity than mines available to utilize it,” Daniel Morgan, a Sydney-based analyst at UBS AG said in a phone interview. “It may result in the banking syndicate having to renegotiate the terms or the price, or taking a writedown on their position.”

To secure the funding, Wiggins Island’s coal company owners committed to take-or-pay contracts, which oblige them to still pay for any of their unused export allocation. The junior owners may struggle to meet those contractual obligations after falling coal prices delayed new projects, said Morgan. The owners also had to provide bank guarantees that covered them for a year if they couldn’t make payment.

Photographer: Andy Shaw/Bloomberg News

A load of coal is loaded onto a ship berthed at the Port of Newcastle in Australia. Companies are delaying new mines and expansions after a supply glut in power-station coal forced prices to a four-year low in August. Close

A load of coal is loaded onto a ship berthed at the Port of Newcastle in Australia.... Read More

Close
Open
Photographer: Andy Shaw/Bloomberg News

A load of coal is loaded onto a ship berthed at the Port of Newcastle in Australia. Companies are delaying new mines and expansions after a supply glut in power-station coal forced prices to a four-year low in August.

Lloyds Exclusion

Westpac, one of the original lenders to Wiggins Island, excluded the project’s debt from a package of loans it bought from Lloyds Banking Group Plc last week, when it acquired its Australian assets, according to a person familiar with the matter. The Sydney-based lender didn’t want any more exposure to the project, that person said.

Glencore, the world’s biggest thermal coal exporter, is trying to sell 5 million tons of a contracted 10.9 million tons of Wiggins Island capacity to other users “due to changed market circumstances,” according to Francis de Rosa, a Sydney-based spokesman. It hasn’t received any offers, he said.

Spokesmen for Westpac, ANZ and Commonwealth Bank of Australia declined to comment on the loans and National Australia Bank Ltd. (NAB), wasn’t available to comment. All were included in the original syndicate, Bloomberg-compiled data show. Westpac wasn’t available to comment on the exclusion of Wiggins’s debt from the Lloyds purchase.

Alasdair Jeffrey, an external spokesman for the Wiggins Island project, wasn’t immediately able to comment on the port’s contract obligations, or Westpac’s exclusion, when contacted by phone.

Photographer: Evan Collis/Bloomberg

Workers inspect a massive dragline bucket at the Curragh coal mine owned by Wesfarmers Ltd. in central Queensland, Australia. Close

Workers inspect a massive dragline bucket at the Curragh coal mine owned by Wesfarmers... Read More

Close
Open
Photographer: Evan Collis/Bloomberg

Workers inspect a massive dragline bucket at the Curragh coal mine owned by Wesfarmers Ltd. in central Queensland, Australia.

Subordinated Debt

The Wiggins Island bank debt comprises a $2.85 billion seven-year term loan, a $50 million working capital facility and a $100 million letter of credit, Bloomberg-compiled data show. The letter of credit also has a seven-year maturity while the working capital loan is tied to the port’s completion date, expected in early 2014, the data show. The package included senior and subordinated debt arranged by ANZ, according to Wiggins’ website.

“The development has a complex capital structure which will present challenges if there are any issues in cost overruns,” said Chris Wyke, a Sydney-based managing director at financial adviser Moelis & Co. “It’s reportedly on track for completion, after which there are very real risks that some of the parties can’t meet their take-or-pay obligations.”

Aquila, Bandanna

More than 60 percent of the port’s first stage is already built, said Jeffrey. Its capacity has the potential to expand to 80 million tons over two more stages, he said. The port’s other owners are Yanzhou Coal Mining Co.’s Yancoal Australia Ltd., Aquila Resources Ltd. (AQA), Bandanna Energy Ltd. (BND), Cockatoo Coal Ltd. (COK), Guangdong Rising Assets Management Co. and New Hope Corp, according to Wiggins’ website.

“Over the opening years of the terminal, between 2015 and 2017, we’d expect capacity utilization between 40 percent and 60 percent,” Ben Willacy, Wood Mackenzie’s manager of coal cost research in Sydney, said by phone. “That’s a result primarily of projects that are due to be feeding Wiggins Island not being developed on the original time frame that was planned.”

Companies are delaying new mines and expansions after a supply glut in power-station coal forced prices to a four-year low in August. BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP), the world’s biggest exporter of coking coal, last month flagged a “challenging” market for steel-making coal because of muted demand and oversupply.

Power station coal prices have declined 36 percent to $78.65 a ton since September 2011, when the Wiggins debt was finalized. Steel-making coal fell 47 percent to $147.75 a ton over that time frame, according to Energy Publishing Inc.

More Capacity

At Wesfarmers’ Curragh mine which currently ships through the Port of Gladstone, an expansion of capacity to 10 million tons annually from about 8.5 million tons “will be dependent upon market conditions,” according to its annual report. Kent Beasley, a spokesman for the company’s resources unit, declined to comment on the use of its 1.5 million-ton annual allocation at Wiggins Island.

“You’ve got a number of large coal companies in that first stage with established coal operations -- Glencore Xstrata, Wesfarmers and Yanzhou -- and those we anticipate will feed into stage one very easily,” Wood Mackenzie’s Willacy said. “But it will be harder to develop new greenfield projects in time for the start of the terminal.”

Bandanna and Guangdong Rising Assets Management plan to develop greenfield projects, he said.

Junior coal miners are struggling with reduced valuations in the “current atmosphere,” said UBS’s Morgan. “The ability to sell down a stake in their projects to help with finance is also problematic - it’s a buyers’ market.”

Potential Partners

A planned mid-2015 production start for Bandanna’s A$700 million ($662 million) Springsure Creek thermal coal project is subject to funding and government approvals, the company said last month. Bandanna, with a market value of A$95 million and about A$74 million in cash as of June 30, has sought potential partners since 2011. It’s contracted to pay Wiggins Island A$54 million annually, according to a May 1 Credit Suisse report, citing company data.

Bandanna last month delayed the start of rail services and related take-or-pay charges with coal haulage provider Asciano Ltd. from 2014 to 2016, according to a statement.

“The debt holders will likely have to share some pain and provide concessions,” said Paul McTaggart, a resources analyst at Credit Suisse Group AG in Sydney. “Putting coal juniors out of business would mean no coal at all and that’s certainly not what the debt providers would want.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Elisabeth Behrmann in Sydney at ebehrmann1@bloomberg.net; Paulina Duran in Sydney at pduran10@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Andrew Hobbs at ahobbs4@bloomberg.net